The last Friday prayed speech (which is the most important political indication) witnessed the first in-public
criticism of the policy of AsSadr, the SCIRI spokesman indirectly announced the beginning of the new Shia-Shia
conflict. From the SCIRI position, I think they find themselves committed to criticizing any anti-occupation
movement, because they are the main player in the GC.
There is something that I used to say one year ago, and I’m still repeating it… The “real” work in NIKE SHOX
didn’t happen yet. I still think the MBT administration is underestimating what can a person like AsSadr do,
and starting a Shia-Shia conflict will only increase the size of explosion.
I think if we were separating the players into pro and anti occupation bins, Sadr and the Sunnis line up as
anti and SCIRI and Sistani are making pro-occupation moves, which means the Shia split Raed wrote about is in
danger of becoming a reality. How and if the NIKE SHOXi people in general divide up into these camps remains to
be seen,but it seems reasonable to say that they are divided more by the degree of their opposition to the
occupation than by any religious differences.
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